MODELACIÓN DE LA ELECCIÓN MODAL EN TRANSPORTE PÚBLICO URBANO A PARTIR DE LA INTRODUCCIÓN DE UN NUEVO MODO
DOI:
https://doi.org/10.24054/rcta.v1i25.425Keywords:
Transporte público urbano, taxi colectivo, preferencias declaradas, preferencias reveladas, elasticidades, valor subjetivo del tiempoAbstract
Este documento presenta la elección modal en un contexto urbano ante la introducción de un nuevo modo de transporte (taxi colectivo) en las rutas que conducen al campus de la Universidad Francisco de Paula Santander Ocaña (Colombia) calibrando
modelos logit-multinomial (MNL) y logit-anidado (NL). El enfoque metodológico se basó en la recolección de información a partir de Preferencias Relevadas (PR) y Preferencias Declaradas (PD) a estudiantes, docentes, administrativos y visitantes al
campus, ya que son quienes experimentan situaciones incomodas como: largos tiempos de espera, sobrecupo en los vehículos, aumento en los tiempos de viaje, entre otros, lo que ha provocado percepción negativa del nivel de servicio de los modos que actualmente operan. A partir de los modelos calibrados se predicen las particiones de mercado ante
varios escenarios de modelación dada la implementación de políticas de transporte, la estimación cuantitativa del valor subjetivo del tiempo (VST), la disposición al pago (DP) y un análisis de elasticidades.
References
Álvarez, J. E. (2011). Aproximaciones econométricas
para evaluar percepciones subjetivas en
transporte público urbano. Tesis de Maestría,
Fundación Universidad del Norte, Barranquilla.
Ben-Akiva, M., & Lerman, S. (1985). Discrete choice
analysis: Theory and application to travel
demand. Cambridge, Massachusetts: The MIT
Press.
Choo, S., & Mokhtarian, L. (2004). What type of
vehicle do people drive? The role of attitude and
lifestyle in in?uencing vehicle type choice.
Transportation Research Part A: Policy and
Practice, 38(3), 201-222.
Commins, N., & Nolan, A. (2011). The determinants
of mode of transport to work in the Greater
Dublin Area. Transport Policy, 18, 259–268.
De Palma, A., & Rochat, D. (2000). Mode choices for
trips to work in Geneva: an empirical analysis.
Journal of Transport Geography, 8, 43-51.
Espino, R., Román, C., & Ortúzar, J. d. (2006).
Analisying demand for suburban trips: a mixed
RP/SP model with latent variables and interaction
effects. Transportation(33), 241-261.
González, R. M., Martínez, E., & Esquivel, A.
(2012). Contraste de las preferencias declaradas
con preferencias reveladas. El caso de los alumnos
de la Universidad de La Laguna ante implantación
del tranvía. Metodología de Encuestas, 14, 65-80.
Guerrero, T. E., Cantillo, V., & Camargo, S. (2013).
Modelación de viajes interurbanos de pasajeros en
sistemas intermodales de baja demanda. Revista
EIA, 10(20), 101-110.
Jara-Diaz, S., & Ortúzar, J. (1985). Valor subjetivo
del tiempo y rol del ingreso en la especificación
de la demanda de transporte. Apuntes de
ingeniería 24, 5-36.
Jou, R.-C., Hensher, D. A., & Hs, T.-L. (2011).
Airport ground access mode choice behavior after
the introduction of a new mode: A case study of
Taoyuan International Airport in Taiwan.
Transportation Research Part E, 47, 371-381.
Krueger, R., & Casey, M. A. (2009). Focus Groups:
A Practical Guide for Applied Research (Cuarta ed.). Beverly Hills: California: SAGE
Publications, Inc.
Liu, G. (2007). A behavioral model of work-trip
mode choice in Shanghai. China Economic
Review, 18, 456–476.
Ortúzar, J. d., & González, R. M. (2002). Inter-Island
travel demand response with discret choice
models. Journal of Transport Economics and
Policy, Volume 36, Part 1, pp 115-138.
Ortúzar, J. d., & Willumsen, L. G. (2011). Modelling
Transport (Cuarta ed.). Chichester: John Wiley
and Sons.
Prashker, J., Shiftan, Y., & Hershkovit, P. (2008).
Residential choice location, gender and the
commute trip to work in Tel Aviv. Journal of
Transport Geography, 16, 332-341.
Román, C., Espino, R., & Martín, R. (2007).
Competition of high-speed train with air
transport: The case of Madrid-Barcelona. Journal
of Air Transport Management 13. Pag 277–284.
Rose, J. M., & Bliemer, M. (2009). Constructing
efficient stated choice experimental designs.
Transport Reviews, 29, 587-617.
Saelensminde, K. (1998). Causes and consequences
of lexicographic choices in stated choice studies.
Working Paper, Institute of Transport Economics:
Oslo.
Seddighi, H., & Theocharous, A. (2002). A model of
tourism destination choice: a theoretical and
empirical analysis. Tourism Management, 23,
-487.
Downloads
Published
Versions
- 2015-01-02 (3)
- 2015-01-02 (2)
- 2021-01-14 (1)
How to Cite
Issue
Section
License
Authors publishing in this journal agree to the following conditions:
- Authors retain the moral rights of authorship and grant the journal the right of first publication of the work. This work is licensed under the Creative Commons Attribution-NonCommercial 4.0 International License (CC BY-NC 4.0 DEED), allowing third parties to use the work provided appropriate credit is given to the authors and the first publication in this journal. Commercial use of the work is not permitted, and derivative works cannot be created.
- Authors may enter into separate, additional contractual agreements for the non-exclusive distribution of the journal's published version of the article (for example, including it in an institutional repository or publishing it in a book), provided that the work is clearly indicated as having first been published in this journal.
- Authors are permitted and encouraged to post their work online (e.g., on institutional or personal websites) before and during the review and publication process, as it can lead to productive exchanges and greater and faster dissemination of the published work.